No, that is the chance for when you tap on the water at your base the whale does a breach.
I have actually seen it, but yes it is super rare. I think I have only seen it twice in 4 years. There could have been more that I didn’t see of course.
I’ve seen this multiple times, though every time I did, I thought it was a bug, meaning that the game wasn’t registering that the event was active and I would reboot it immediately after
I’m glad I know now!
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